Sportsball StatsAston VillavNottingham Forest
Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 12:00 am AEST
Villa Park · Forecast: · 16°C · 17 km/h wind
Match result
Likeliest scores
1–1 13%2–1 9%1–0 8%2–0 8%
Goals
Aston Villa
1.60
expected goals
2.81 total
Nottingham Forest
1.22
- Over 2.5 goalsEven53%@ 2.00
- Both teams to scoreLikely57%@ 1.77
- Aston Villa to scoreLikely80%@ 1.24
- Nottingham Forest to scoreLikely70%@ 1.44
Season comparison
| Aston Villa | 2026-27 | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 0 | Won | 0 |
| 1 | Drawn | 2 |
| 2 | Lost | 1 |
| 0 | Goals for | 2 |
| 5 | Goals against | 3 |
| DLL | Last 5 | DDL |
Key stats
- 0Half-time goals0.5
Half-time goals: Aston Villa 0, Nottingham Forest 0.5. The score at the break.
- 0.73xG1.46
xG: Aston Villa 0.73, Nottingham Forest 1.46. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.
- 0.73Non-penalty xG1.20
Non-penalty xG: Aston Villa 0.73, Nottingham Forest 1.20. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.
- 8.7Shots12
Shots: Aston Villa 8.7, Nottingham Forest 12. Attempts at goal, on target or not.
- 0.3On target2.3
On target: Aston Villa 0.3, Nottingham Forest 2.3. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.
- 0.7Big chances0.7
Big chances: Aston Villa 0.7, Nottingham Forest 0.7. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.
- 2Corners4
Corners: Aston Villa 2, Nottingham Forest 4. Corners won.
- 1.3Shots from corners2
Shots from corners: Aston Villa 1.3, Nottingham Forest 2. How many of those corners actually produced a shot.
- 0.3From free kicks0.3
From free kicks: Aston Villa 0.3, Nottingham Forest 0.3. Shots struck directly from a free kick.
- 1.3Headed shots2.3
Headed shots: Aston Villa 1.3, Nottingham Forest 2.3. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.
- 0Penalties0.3
Penalties: Aston Villa 0, Nottingham Forest 0.3. Penalties awarded and taken.
- 214Passes in their third169.3
Passes in their third: Aston Villa 214, Nottingham Forest 169.3. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.
- 4Deep completions6
Deep completions: Aston Villa 4, Nottingham Forest 6. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.
- 14Fouls12.5
Fouls: Aston Villa 14, Nottingham Forest 12.5. Fouls conceded.
- 2Yellow cards2.3
Yellow cards: Aston Villa 2, Nottingham Forest 2.3. Summed from the players.
- 0.3Red cards0
Red cards: Aston Villa 0.3, Nottingham Forest 0. Summed from the players.
- 20.5PPDA12.6
PPDA: Aston Villa 20.5, Nottingham Forest 12.6. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.
- 0.75Expected points1.60
Expected points: Aston Villa 0.75, Nottingham Forest 1.60. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.
Head to head
4 Aston Villa · 2 drawn · 2 Nottingham Forest8 meetings on record, 3.0 goals a game
- Nottingham Forest1–1Aston Villa2025-26 · 12 Apr
- Aston Villa3–1Nottingham Forest2025-26 · 3 Jan
- Aston Villa2–1Nottingham Forest2024-25 · 6 Apr
- Nottingham Forest2–1Aston Villa2024-25 · 15 Dec
- Aston Villa4–2Nottingham Forest2023-24 · 25 Feb
- Nottingham Forest2–0Aston Villa2023-24 · 6 Nov
- Aston Villa2–0Nottingham Forest2022-23 · 9 Apr
- Nottingham Forest1–1Aston Villa2022-23 · 11 Oct
Last time out
Aston Villa
Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa · 5 Sept
- Zion SuzukiGK
- Matty CashDR
- Victor LindelöfDC
- Tyrone MingsDC
- Ian MaatsenDL
- Ross BarkleyDMC
- Boubacar KamaraDMC
- John McGinnAMR
- Emiliano BuendíaAMC
- George HemmingsAML
- Nicolas JacksonFW
Substitutes used (5)
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur · 5 Sept
- James McAteeMC
- Dan NdoyeAMC
- Liam DelapFW
- Matz SelsGK
- Nikola MilenkovićDC
- JairDC
- MurilloDC
- Ola AinaDMR
- Neco WilliamsDML
- Xaver SchlagerMC
- Gibbs-WhiteAMC
Substitutes used (4)
Players to watch
Aston Villa
- Emiliano Buendía6Shots
- George Hemmings1Shots on target
- Ross Barkley6Key passes
- Emiliano Buendía1Big chances
- Emiliano Buendía0.60Expected goals
- Ross Barkley0.52Expected assists
Nottingham Forest
- Dan Ndoye1Goals
- Gibbs-White1Assists
- Gibbs-White7Shots
- Igor Jesus2Shots on target
- James McAtee9Key passes
- Igor Jesus1Big chances
- Gibbs-White1.34Expected goals
- Dan Ndoye0.94Expected assists
Defence vs position
No positional data recorded for these clubs, so there is nothing to compare.
Odds
Head to head
| Selection | Best |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | |||||||||
| Draw | |||||||||
| Nottingham Forest |
Double chance
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa or draw | |||||||||
| Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest | |||||||||
| Draw or Nottingham Forest |
Draw no bet
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | |||||||||
| Nottingham Forest |
Total goals1.5
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | |||||||||
| Under |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | |||||||||
| Yes |
Total corners8.5
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Under | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total shots on target10.5
| Selection | Best | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Under | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |