Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 1, NFO v LEE

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50111.00u1.44u+0.44u+44.4%
$2.50 - $10.00
Over $10.00
All111.00u1.44u+0.44u+44.4%
Voiddid not start1

Player props

2 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 116 of 598 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
NFOIgor JesusShots on targetU 1.51.44bet36536/4090%+11.1%won1NFOvLEE
NFOChris WoodShots on targetU 1.51.50bet36548/6080%+2.3%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidNFOvLEE

Team markets

No team market matches those filters.

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.