Sportsball StatsValue
Gameweek 3, MCI v COV
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | 1 | 1 | 0.50u | 1.80u | +1.30u | +260.0% |
| Over $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All | 1 | 1 | 0.50u | 1.80u | +1.30u | +260.0% |
Player props
1 bet beats the player's own record. Measured on 103 of 411 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVEthan Pinnock | Shots | O 0.5 | 3.60 |  | 25/60 | 42% | +8.2% | won1 | MCIvCOV |
Team markets
| Selection | Market | Line | Best | Book | Books | MarketEV | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under | Total goals | 2.5 | 3.40 |  | 9 | +4.5% | MCIvCOV |
| Over | Total cards | 3.5 | 2.84 |  | 6 | +3.7% | MCIvCOV |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 5.30 | | 4 | +3.7% | MCIvCOV |
| Over | Total cards | 2.5 | 1.78 | | 8 | +2.1% | MCIvCOV |
| Under | Total cards | 2.5 | 2.40 |  | 8 | +2.0% | MCIvCOV |
| No | Both teams to score | — | 1.91 | | 9 | +1.7% | MCIvCOV |
| Under | Total cards | 3.5 | 1.60 | | 6 | +1.5% | MCIvCOV |
| Under | Total goals | 3.5 | 1.91 | | 9 | +1.3% | MCIvCOV |
| Under | Total goals | 4.5 | 1.40 | | 9 | +0.8% | MCIvCOV |
| Under | Total cards | 4.5 | 1.25 | | 4 | +0.5% | MCIvCOV |
| Over | Total cards | 1.5 | 1.27 |  | 3 | +0.2% | MCIvCOV |
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.