Value
Gameweek 3, ARS v CHE
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | 3 | 3 | 3.00u | 5.14u | +2.14u | +71.3% |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | 5 | 1 | 2.50u | 1.35u | -1.15u | -46.0% |
| Over $10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0.25u | 0.00u | -0.25u | -100.0% |
| All | 9 | 4 | 5.75u | 6.49u | +0.74u | +12.8% |
Player props
9 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 133 of 627 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 3.5 | 4.50 | 24/60 | 40% | +28.6% | lost3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 2.5 | 2.70 | 36/60 | 60% | +27.9% | won3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 1.5 | 3.40 | 28/60 | 47% | +17.7% | lost1 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 2.5 | 7.00 | 15/60 | 25% | +10.4% | lost1 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots on target | O 2.5 | 19.00 | 7/60 | 12% | +9.6% | lost2 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 0.5 | 1.65 | 47/60 | 78% | +9.5% | won1 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots on target | O 0.5 | 1.85 | 43/60 | 72% | +9.4% | won2 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 1.5 | 1.64 | 47/60 | 78% | +8.9% | won3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 4.5 | 8.00 | 13/60 | 22% | +5.0% | lost3 | ARSvCHE |
Team markets
No team market matches those filters.
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.