Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 3, ARS v CHE

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50333.00u5.14u+2.14u+71.3%
$2.50 - $10.00512.50u1.35u-1.15u-46.0%
Over $10.00100.25u0.00u-0.25u-100.0%
All945.75u6.49u+0.74u+12.8%

Player props

9 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 133 of 627 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
CHECole PalmerShotsO 3.54.50Ladbrokes24/6040%+28.6%lost3ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 2.52.70Ladbrokes36/6060%+27.9%won3ARSvCHE
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 1.53.40Ladbrokes28/6047%+17.7%lost1ARSvCHE
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 2.57.00Ladbrokes15/6025%+10.4%lost1ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShots on targetO 2.519.00Ladbrokes7/6012%+9.6%lost2ARSvCHE
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 0.51.65Ladbrokes47/6078%+9.5%won1ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShots on targetO 0.51.85Ladbrokes43/6072%+9.4%won2ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 1.51.64Ladbrokes47/6078%+8.9%won3ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 4.58.00Dabble13/6022%+5.0%lost3ARSvCHE

Team markets

No team market matches those filters.

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.