Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 3, EVE v MUN

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50
$2.50 - $10.00100.50u0.00u-0.50u-100.0%
Over $10.00
All100.50u0.00u-0.50u-100.0%

Player props

1 bet beats the player's own record. Measured on 119 of 609 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
MUNBruno FernandesAssistsO 0.54.20Ladbrokes23/6038%+13.8%lost0EVEvMUN

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal cards5.54.05Sportsbet5+8.8%EVEvMUN
Manchester UnitedHead to head2.05BetRight9+1.9%EVEvMUN
Manchester UnitedDraw no bet1.54BetRight9+1.1%EVEvMUN
OverTotal corners11.53.16Sportsbet8+1.0%EVEvMUN
OverTotal corners10.52.33Sportsbet8+0.6%EVEvMUN

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.