Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 1, FUL v CHE

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50222.00u3.99u+1.99u+99.4%
$2.50 - $10.00
Over $10.00
All222.00u3.99u+1.99u+99.4%

Player props

2 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 122 of 343 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
FULOscar BobbShotsU 1.51.62bet36541/4395%+36.7%won0FULvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 2.52.37bet36536/6060%+12.3%won5FULvCHE

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
FulhamDraw no bet3.00bet3658+7.5%FULvCHE
Fulham or drawDouble chance1.91bet3658+1.4%FULvCHE

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.