Sportsball StatsValue
Gameweek 1, BRE v TOT
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | 6 | 2 | 6.00u | 3.63u | -2.37u | -39.4% |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All | 6 | 2 | 6.00u | 3.63u | -2.37u | -39.4% |
Player props
6 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 140 of 669 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BREMathias Jensen | Shots | U 1.5 | 1.57 |  | 53/60 | 88% | +22.3% | lost2 | BREvTOT |
| TOTMikey Moore | Shots | U 1.5 | 1.73 | | 13/14 | 93% | +18.6% | lost3 | BREvTOT |
| BREVitaly Janelt | Shots | U 0.5 | 2.20 | | 39/60 | 65% | +15.2% | lost2 | BREvTOT |
| TOTMathys Tel | Shots | U 2.5 | 1.53 | | 41/47 | 87% | +14.8% | won2 | BREvTOT |
| BREIgor Thiago | Shots | U 2.5 | 2.10 | | 33/49 | 67% | +12.1% | won2 | BREvTOT |
| BREKeane Lewis-Potter | Shots | U 1.5 | 1.62 | | 45/60 | 75% | +1.5% | lost2 | BREvTOT |
Team markets
| Selection | Market | Line | Best | Book | Books | MarketEV | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Total cards | 5.5 | 4.15 |  | 3 | +0.4% | BREvTOT |
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.