Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 3, FUL v CRY

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50
$2.50 - $10.00
Over $10.00
All
Voiddid not start1

Player props

1 bet beats the player's own record. Measured on 99 of 587 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
CRYBen ChilwellGoalsO 0.515.00BetRight7/5213%+0.2%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidFULvCRY

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal cards4.53.32Sportsbet6+14.6%FULvCRY
OverTotal cards3.51.97Sportsbet8+4.0%FULvCRY
FulhamHead to head2.25BetRight9+0.3%FULvCRY

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.