Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 1

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.5011611.00u11.44u+0.44u+4.0%
$2.50 - $10.00
Over $10.00
All11611.00u11.44u+0.44u+4.0%
Voiddid not start9

Player props

20 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 1,122 of 4,985 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
ARSGabriel JesusShotsO 3.523.00PointsBet9/6015%+86.2%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidARSvCOV
ARSGabriel JesusShotsO 2.57.50PointsBet17/6028%+38.8%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidARSvCOV
FULOscar BobbShotsU 1.51.62bet36541/4395%+36.7%won0FULvCHE
BREMathias JensenShotsU 1.51.57bet36553/6088%+22.3%lost2BREvTOT
MCIJeremy DokuShots on targetU 0.52.10bet36542/6070%+20.7%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidMCIvBOU
MCIPhil FodenShots on targetU 0.52.37bet36538/6063%+20.1%won0MCIvBOU
MCIRayan CherkiShots on targetU 0.52.37bet36524/3667%+19.3%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidMCIvBOU
TOTMikey MooreShotsU 1.51.73bet36513/1493%+18.6%lost3BREvTOT
BREVitaly JaneltShotsU 0.52.20bet36539/6065%+15.2%lost2BREvTOT
TOTMathys TelShotsU 2.51.53bet36541/4787%+14.8%won2BREvTOT
CHECole PalmerShotsO 2.52.37bet36536/6060%+12.3%won5FULvCHE
BREIgor ThiagoShotsU 2.52.10bet36533/4967%+12.1%won2BREvTOT
NFOIgor JesusShots on targetU 1.51.44bet36536/4090%+11.1%won1NFOvLEE
ARSGabriel JesusShots on targetO 0.52.90PointsBet30/6050%+9.4%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidARSvCOV
TOTOmar MarmoushShots on targetU 1.51.57bet36532/3982%+5.8%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidMCIvBOU
COVGustavo HamerShotsO 1.54.20BetRight15/3938%+4.5%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidARSvCOV
NFOChris WoodShots on targetU 1.51.50bet36548/6080%+2.3%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidNFOvLEE
BOUDavid BrooksShots on targetU 0.51.67bet36544/6073%+1.7%void, the player took no part, so the bet was voidMCIvBOU
BREKeane Lewis-PotterShotsU 1.51.62bet36545/6075%+1.5%lost2BREvTOT
BOUEvanilsonShotsO 1.51.82Unibet41/6068%+1.5%lost0MCIvBOU

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal cards5.54.50Sportsbet4+17.5%BHAvAVL
OverTotal cards4.53.58Sportsbet6+12.9%IPSvSUN
OverTotal cards4.53.18Sportsbet6+10.6%EVEvCRY
FulhamDraw no bet3.00bet3658+7.5%FULvCHE
OverTotal cards3.52.03Sportsbet8+6.8%EVEvCRY
UnderTotal goals1.54.00bet3659+4.2%BHAvAVL
UnderTotal cards2.55.10Sportsbet3+3.2%NEWvLIV
OverTotal cards4.52.57Sportsbet6+2.9%BHAvAVL
UnderTotal goals2.52.60Unibet9+2.6%ARSvCOV
UnderTotal goals3.51.40bet3659+2.6%BHAvAVL
OverTotal cards3.52.06Sportsbet8+2.4%IPSvSUN
Brighton & Hove AlbionDraw no bet1.62bet3659+1.8%BHAvAVL
Ipswich TownHead to head2.90PointsBet9+1.5%IPSvSUN
Fulham or drawDouble chance1.91bet3658+1.4%FULvCHE
UnderTotal goals2.52.00bet3659+1.1%BHAvAVL
UnderTotal cards3.52.65Sportsbet6+0.9%NEWvLIV
OverTotal cards5.54.15Sportsbet3+0.4%BREvTOT
OverTotal corners7.51.33Unibet8+0.3%EVEvCRY
UnderTotal corners7.54.20Ladbrokes7+0.3%BHAvAVL
OverTotal corners9.51.94Unibet9+0.3%EVEvCRY
OverTotal corners8.51.57Unibet8+0.2%EVEvCRY
UnderTotal cards2.54.25Sportsbet3+0.1%HULvMUN
DrawHead to head7.25Sportsbet9+0.1%ARSvCOV
UnderTotal corners9.52.60Ladbrokes8+0.1%MCIvBOU

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.