Value
Gameweek 3
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | 3 | 3 | 3.00u | 5.14u | +2.14u | +71.3% |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | 7 | 2 | 3.50u | 3.15u | -0.35u | -10.0% |
| Over $10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0.25u | 0.00u | -0.25u | -100.0% |
| All | 11 | 5 | 6.75u | 8.29u | +1.54u | +22.8% |
| Voiddid not start | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Player props
12 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 1,021 of 5,164 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 3.5 | 4.50 | 24/60 | 40% | +28.6% | lost3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 2.5 | 2.70 | 36/60 | 60% | +27.9% | won3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 1.5 | 3.40 | 28/60 | 47% | +17.7% | lost1 | ARSvCHE | |
| MUNBruno Fernandes | Assists | O 0.5 | 4.20 | 23/60 | 38% | +13.8% | lost0 | EVEvMUN | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 2.5 | 7.00 | 15/60 | 25% | +10.4% | lost1 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots on target | O 2.5 | 19.00 | 7/60 | 12% | +9.6% | lost2 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHEPedro Neto | Shots | O 0.5 | 1.65 | 47/60 | 78% | +9.5% | won1 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots on target | O 0.5 | 1.85 | 43/60 | 72% | +9.4% | won2 | ARSvCHE | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 1.5 | 1.64 | 47/60 | 78% | +8.9% | won3 | ARSvCHE | |
| COVEthan Pinnock | Shots | O 0.5 | 3.60 | 25/60 | 42% | +8.2% | won1 | MCIvCOV | |
| CHECole Palmer | Shots | O 4.5 | 8.00 | 13/60 | 22% | +5.0% | lost3 | ARSvCHE | |
| CRYBen Chilwell | Goals | O 0.5 | 15.00 | 7/52 | 13% | +0.2% | void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was void | FULvCRY |
Team markets
| Selection | Market | Line | Best | Book | Books | MarketEV | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Total cards | 5.5 | 3.70 | 5 | +16.8% | NEWvBOU | |
| Over | Total cards | 5.5 | 4.30 | 6 | +15.7% | BHAvLEE | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 3.32 | 6 | +14.6% | FULvCRY | |
| Over | Total cards | 5.5 | 4.05 | 5 | +8.8% | EVEvMUN | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 2.50 | 8 | +6.0% | BHAvLEE | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 2.23 | 7 | +5.0% | NEWvBOU | |
| Under | Total goals | 2.5 | 3.40 | 9 | +4.5% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total cards | 3.5 | 1.97 | 8 | +4.0% | FULvCRY | |
| Over | Total cards | 3.5 | 2.84 | 6 | +3.7% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 5.30 | 4 | +3.7% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total cards | 5.5 | 3.92 | 6 | +3.4% | IPSvLIV | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 3.08 | 6 | +3.1% | HULvAVL | |
| Over | Total cards | 2.5 | 1.78 | 8 | +2.1% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total cards | 3.5 | 2.07 | 8 | +2.1% | NFOvTOT | |
| Under | Total cards | 2.5 | 2.40 | 8 | +2.0% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total cards | 3.5 | 1.98 | 8 | +1.9% | BREvSUN | |
| Manchester United | Head to head | — | 2.05 | 9 | +1.9% | EVEvMUN | |
| No | Both teams to score | — | 1.91 | 9 | +1.7% | MCIvCOV | |
| Under | Total cards | 3.5 | 1.60 | 6 | +1.5% | MCIvCOV | |
| Under | Total cards | 3.5 | 2.00 | 8 | +1.4% | NFOvTOT | |
| Under | Total goals | 3.5 | 1.91 | 9 | +1.3% | MCIvCOV | |
| Manchester United | Draw no bet | — | 1.54 | 9 | +1.1% | EVEvMUN | |
| Over | Total corners | 11.5 | 3.16 | 8 | +1.0% | EVEvMUN | |
| Under | Total goals | 4.5 | 1.40 | 9 | +0.8% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total corners | 10.5 | 2.33 | 8 | +0.6% | EVEvMUN | |
| Under | Total cards | 4.5 | 1.25 | 4 | +0.5% | MCIvCOV | |
| Over | Total goals | 3.5 | 3.55 | 9 | +0.5% | HULvAVL | |
| Over | Total cards | 4.5 | 3.02 | 6 | +0.4% | BREvSUN | |
| Newcastle United | Head to head | — | 2.20 | 8 | +0.3% | NEWvBOU | |
| Fulham | Head to head | — | 2.25 | 9 | +0.3% | FULvCRY |
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.