Sportsball Stats

Value

Gameweek 3

Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.

PriceBetsWonStakedReturnedP&LROI
Under $2.50333.00u5.14u+2.14u+71.3%
$2.50 - $10.00723.50u3.15u-0.35u-10.0%
Over $10.00100.25u0.00u-0.25u-100.0%
All1156.75u8.29u+1.54u+22.8%
Voiddid not start1

Player props

12 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 1,021 of 5,164 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 60RateEdgeResultMatch
CHECole PalmerShotsO 3.54.50Ladbrokes24/6040%+28.6%lost3ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 2.52.70Ladbrokes36/6060%+27.9%won3ARSvCHE
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 1.53.40Ladbrokes28/6047%+17.7%lost1ARSvCHE
MUNBruno FernandesAssistsO 0.54.20Ladbrokes23/6038%+13.8%lost0EVEvMUN
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 2.57.00Ladbrokes15/6025%+10.4%lost1ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShots on targetO 2.519.00Ladbrokes7/6012%+9.6%lost2ARSvCHE
CHEPedro NetoShotsO 0.51.65Ladbrokes47/6078%+9.5%won1ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShots on targetO 0.51.85Ladbrokes43/6072%+9.4%won2ARSvCHE
CHECole PalmerShotsO 1.51.64Ladbrokes47/6078%+8.9%won3ARSvCHE
COVEthan PinnockShotsO 0.53.60Dabble25/6042%+8.2%won1MCIvCOV
CHECole PalmerShotsO 4.58.00Dabble13/6022%+5.0%lost3ARSvCHE
CRYBen ChilwellGoalsO 0.515.00Betr7/5213%+0.2%void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was voidFULvCRY

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal cards5.53.70Sportsbet5+16.8%NEWvBOU
OverTotal cards5.54.30Sportsbet6+15.7%BHAvLEE
OverTotal cards4.53.32Sportsbet6+14.6%FULvCRY
OverTotal cards5.54.05Sportsbet5+8.8%EVEvMUN
OverTotal cards4.52.50Sportsbet8+6.0%BHAvLEE
OverTotal cards4.52.23Sportsbet7+5.0%NEWvBOU
UnderTotal goals2.53.40bet3659+4.5%MCIvCOV
OverTotal cards3.51.97Sportsbet8+4.0%FULvCRY
OverTotal cards3.52.84Sportsbet6+3.7%MCIvCOV
OverTotal cards4.55.30Sportsbet4+3.7%MCIvCOV
OverTotal cards5.53.92Sportsbet6+3.4%IPSvLIV
OverTotal cards4.53.08Sportsbet6+3.1%HULvAVL
OverTotal cards2.51.78bet3658+2.1%MCIvCOV
OverTotal cards3.52.07bet3658+2.1%NFOvTOT
UnderTotal cards2.52.40Ladbrokes8+2.0%MCIvCOV
OverTotal cards3.51.98bet3658+1.9%BREvSUN
Manchester UnitedHead to head2.05BetRight9+1.9%EVEvMUN
NoBoth teams to score1.91bet3659+1.7%MCIvCOV
UnderTotal cards3.51.60Ladbrokes6+1.5%MCIvCOV
UnderTotal cards3.52.00TAB8+1.4%NFOvTOT
UnderTotal goals3.51.91bet3659+1.3%MCIvCOV
Manchester UnitedDraw no bet1.54BetRight9+1.1%EVEvMUN
OverTotal corners11.53.16Sportsbet8+1.0%EVEvMUN
UnderTotal goals4.51.40bet3659+0.8%MCIvCOV
OverTotal corners10.52.33Sportsbet8+0.6%EVEvMUN
UnderTotal cards4.51.25Ladbrokes4+0.5%MCIvCOV
OverTotal goals3.53.55Unibet9+0.5%HULvAVL
OverTotal cards4.53.02Sportsbet6+0.4%BREvSUN
Newcastle UnitedHead to head2.20PointsBet8+0.3%NEWvBOU
FulhamHead to head2.25Betr9+0.3%FULvCRY

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.