Sportsball StatsValue
Gameweek 1, ARS v COV
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Voiddid not start | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Player props
4 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 105 of 457 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots | O 3.5 | 23.00 |  | 9/60 | 15% | +86.2% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | ARSvCOV |
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots | O 2.5 | 7.50 | | 17/60 | 28% | +38.8% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | ARSvCOV |
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots on target | O 0.5 | 2.90 | | 30/60 | 50% | +9.4% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | ARSvCOV |
| COVGustavo Hamer | Shots | O 1.5 | 4.20 |  | 15/39 | 38% | +4.5% | void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was void | ARSvCOV |
Team markets
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.