Value
Gameweek 1, MCI v BOU
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | 2 | 1 | 2.00u | 2.37u | +0.37u | +18.5% |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over $10.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All | 2 | 1 | 2.00u | 2.37u | +0.37u | +18.5% |
| Voiddid not start | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Player props
6 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 154 of 516 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCIJeremy Doku | Shots on target | U 0.5 | 2.10 | 42/60 | 70% | +20.7% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | MCIvBOU | |
| MCIPhil Foden | Shots on target | U 0.5 | 2.37 | 38/60 | 63% | +20.1% | won0 | MCIvBOU | |
| MCIRayan Cherki | Shots on target | U 0.5 | 2.37 | 24/36 | 67% | +19.3% | void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was void | MCIvBOU | |
| TOTOmar Marmoush | Shots on target | U 1.5 | 1.57 | 32/39 | 82% | +5.8% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | MCIvBOU | |
| BOUDavid Brooks | Shots on target | U 0.5 | 1.67 | 44/60 | 73% | +1.7% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | MCIvBOU | |
| BOUEvanilson | Shots | O 1.5 | 1.82 | 41/60 | 68% | +1.5% | lost0 | MCIvBOU |
Team markets
| Selection | Market | Line | Best | Book | Books | MarketEV | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under | Total corners | 9.5 | 2.60 | 8 | +0.1% | MCIvBOU |
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.