Value
Gameweek 2, AVL v ARS
Stakes: 1u under $2.50, 0.5u to $10.00, 0.25u above.
| Price | Bets | Won | Staked | Returned | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $2.50 | 1 | 0 | 1.00u | 0.00u | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| $2.50 - $10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0.50u | 0.00u | -0.50u | -100.0% |
| Over $10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0.25u | 0.00u | -0.25u | -100.0% |
| All | 3 | 0 | 1.75u | 0.00u | -1.75u | -100.0% |
| Voiddid not start | 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
Player props
9 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 131 of 610 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 60 | Rate | Edge | Result | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots | O 3.5 | 26.00 | 9/60 | 15% | +110.5% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots | O 2.5 | 8.50 | 17/60 | 28% | +57.3% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| AVLNicolas Jackson | Shots on target | O 1.5 | 6.50 | 19/60 | 32% | +38.5% | lost0 | AVLvARS | |
| AVLAlejandro Garnacho | Shots | O 2.5 | 5.50 | 19/60 | 32% | +17.2% | void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots on target | O 0.5 | 3.00 | 30/60 | 50% | +13.2% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| AVLNicolas Jackson | Shots on target | O 0.5 | 2.15 | 38/60 | 63% | +9.0% | lost0 | AVLvARS | |
| AVLAlejandro Garnacho | Shots | O 3.5 | 13.00 | 9/60 | 15% | +5.3% | void · sub, the player came off the bench, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| ARSGabriel Jesus | Shots on target | O 1.5 | 15.00 | 8/60 | 13% | +3.7% | void, the player took no part, so the bet was void | AVLvARS | |
| AVLNicolas Jackson | Assists | O 0.5 | 11.00 | 10/60 | 17% | +2.4% | lost0 | AVLvARS |
Team markets
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 60 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.