Carolina PanthersvChicago Bears

Chicago Bears by 0.6 on the model’s numbers

• Carolina Panthers +2.5Likely56%@ 2.05
• Over 47.5 pointsUnlikely44%@ 1.98

• 312.7Total yards385.2

  Total yards: Carolina Panthers 312.7, Chicago Bears 385.2. Passing plus rushing. Not a published column -- summed here so it means the same thing everywhere it appears.

• 198.2Passing yards242.6

  Passing yards: Carolina Panthers 198.2, Chicago Bears 242.6. Net of sacks, as the league counts it.

• 114.4Rushing yards142.6

  Rushing yards: Carolina Panthers 114.4, Chicago Bears 142.6. Yards gained on the ground.

• 16.4First downs19.8

  First downs: Carolina Panthers 16.4, Chicago Bears 19.8. Passing and rushing only — a first down awarded by penalty is not published and is not counted.

• 1.7Sacks2.1

  Sacks: Carolina Panthers 1.7, Chicago Bears 2.1. Sacks by this defence.

• 3.6QB hits5.1

  QB hits: Carolina Panthers 3.6, Chicago Bears 5.1. Hits on the opposing quarterback, sacks included.

• 3.7Tackles for loss3.9

  Tackles for loss: Carolina Panthers 3.7, Chicago Bears 3.9. Runs and short passes stopped behind the line.

• 1.2Takeaways1.7

  Takeaways: Carolina Panthers 1.2, Chicago Bears 1.7. Interceptions caught plus opposition fumbles recovered.

• 5.5Penalties6.6

  Penalties: Carolina Panthers 5.5, Chicago Bears 6.6. Penalties accepted against this team.

• 44.3Penalty yards52.6

  Penalty yards: Carolina Panthers 44.3, Chicago Bears 52.6. Yards conceded to penalties.

• -2.0Passing EPA3.2

  Passing EPA: Carolina Panthers -2.0, Chicago Bears 3.2. Expected points added by the passing game. Above nought is better than an average offence would have managed from the same downs.

• -0.9Rushing EPA1.3

  Rushing EPA: Carolina Panthers -0.9, Chicago Bears 1.3. The same for the running game.