Houston TexansvBuffalo Bills

Houston Texans by 1.8 on the model’s numbers

• Houston Texans -0.5Even54%@ 2.00
• Over 44.5 pointsLikely56%@ 1.95

• 341.2Total yards395.4

  Total yards: Houston Texans 341.2, Buffalo Bills 395.4. Passing plus rushing. Not a published column -- summed here so it means the same thing everywhere it appears.

• 232.5Passing yards238.8

  Passing yards: Houston Texans 232.5, Buffalo Bills 238.8. Net of sacks, as the league counts it.

• 108.6Rushing yards156.6

  Rushing yards: Houston Texans 108.6, Buffalo Bills 156.6. Yards gained on the ground.

• 16.6First downs20.5

  First downs: Houston Texans 16.6, Buffalo Bills 20.5. Passing and rushing only — a first down awarded by penalty is not published and is not counted.

• 2.9Sacks1.9

  Sacks: Houston Texans 2.9, Buffalo Bills 1.9. Sacks by this defence.

• 5.7QB hits5.2

  QB hits: Houston Texans 5.7, Buffalo Bills 5.2. Hits on the opposing quarterback, sacks included.

• 5.7Tackles for loss4.8

  Tackles for loss: Houston Texans 5.7, Buffalo Bills 4.8. Runs and short passes stopped behind the line.

• 1.8Takeaways1.2

  Takeaways: Houston Texans 1.8, Buffalo Bills 1.2. Interceptions caught plus opposition fumbles recovered.

• 6.7Penalties5.9

  Penalties: Houston Texans 6.7, Buffalo Bills 5.9. Penalties accepted against this team.

• 56.1Penalty yards50.3

  Penalty yards: Houston Texans 56.1, Buffalo Bills 50.3. Yards conceded to penalties.

• 0.4Passing EPA5.9

  Passing EPA: Houston Texans 0.4, Buffalo Bills 5.9. Expected points added by the passing game. Above nought is better than an average offence would have managed from the same downs.

• -2.4Rushing EPA2.4

  Rushing EPA: Houston Texans -2.4, Buffalo Bills 2.4. The same for the running game.