Seattle SeahawksvNew England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks by 4.7 on the model’s numbers

• Seattle Seahawks -3.5Even54%@ 2.05
• Over 44.5 pointsEven50%@ 1.95

Team ratings only — there is no starting quarterback adjustment in these numbers.

• 361.1Total yards378.5

  Total yards: Seattle Seahawks 361.1, New England Patriots 378.5. Passing plus rushing. Not a published column -- summed here so it means the same thing everywhere it appears.

• 236.8Passing yards251.8

  Passing yards: Seattle Seahawks 236.8, New England Patriots 251.8. Net of sacks, as the league counts it.

• 124.3Rushing yards126.8

  Rushing yards: Seattle Seahawks 124.3, New England Patriots 126.8. Yards gained on the ground.

• 18.2First downs18.7

  First downs: Seattle Seahawks 18.2, New England Patriots 18.7. Passing and rushing only — a first down awarded by penalty is not published and is not counted.

• 2.8Sacks2.2

  Sacks: Seattle Seahawks 2.8, New England Patriots 2.2. Sacks by this defence.

• 7.0QB hits5.8

  QB hits: Seattle Seahawks 7.0, New England Patriots 5.8. Hits on the opposing quarterback, sacks included.

• 5.1Tackles for loss5.2

  Tackles for loss: Seattle Seahawks 5.1, New England Patriots 5.2. Runs and short passes stopped behind the line.

• 1.6Takeaways1.3

  Takeaways: Seattle Seahawks 1.6, New England Patriots 1.3. Interceptions caught plus opposition fumbles recovered.

• 5.6Penalties5.1

  Penalties: Seattle Seahawks 5.6, New England Patriots 5.1. Penalties accepted against this team.

• 43.6Penalty yards46.0

  Penalty yards: Seattle Seahawks 43.6, New England Patriots 46.0. Yards conceded to penalties.

• 4.6Passing EPA5.8

  Passing EPA: Seattle Seahawks 4.6, New England Patriots 5.8. Expected points added by the passing game. Above nought is better than an average offence would have managed from the same downs.

• -2.0Rushing EPA-1.1

  Rushing EPA: Seattle Seahawks -2.0, New England Patriots -1.1. The same for the running game.