Value
Player props
13 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 340 of 507 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 34 | Rate | Edge | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARRico Dowdle | Rushing yards | O 124.5 | 21.00 | 5/34 | 15% | +35.4% | PITvATL | |
| CARRico Dowdle | Rushing yards | O 109.5 | 16.00 | 6/34 | 18% | +33.6% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receptions | U 1.5 | 2.30 | 25/34 | 74% | +30.8% | PITvATL | |
| CARRico Dowdle | Rushing yards | O 99.5 | 12.00 | 7/34 | 21% | +24.2% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receiving yards | U 17.5 | 1.90 | 25/34 | 74% | +8.1% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receiving yards | U 18.5 | 1.88 | 25/34 | 74% | +6.8% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receiving yards | U 19.5 | 1.88 | 25/34 | 74% | +6.8% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receiving yards | U 15.5 | 2.05 | 23/34 | 68% | +4.2% | PITvATL | |
| PHIJahan Dotson | Receiving yards | U 20.5 | 1.80 | 25/34 | 74% | +2.4% | PITvATL | |
| PITDK Metcalf | Receptions | O 2.5 | 1.32 | 31/34 | 91% | +1.5% | PITvATL | |
| MIATua Tagovailoa | Passing touchdowns | O 0.5 | 1.45 | 29/34 | 85% | +1.3% | PITvATL | |
| PITPat Freiermuth | Receiving yards | O 9.5 | 1.25 | 32/34 | 94% | +1.1% | PITvATL | |
| MIATua Tagovailoa | Passing touchdowns | O 1.5 | 3.50 | 15/34 | 44% | +1.1% | PITvATL |
Team markets
| Selection | Market | Line | Best | Book | Books | MarketEV | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Total points | 52 | 4.80 | 3 | +4.9% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 51.5 | 4.50 | 7 | +4.2% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 51 | 4.40 | 3 | +3.5% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 50 | 3.80 | 3 | +1.7% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 50.5 | 3.90 | 8 | +1.7% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 48.5 | 3.25 | 8 | +1.1% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 49.5 | 3.50 | 8 | +0.8% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 48 | 3.20 | 3 | +0.5% | PITvATL | |
| Under | Total points | 52.5 | 1.28 | 6 | +0.5% | PITvATL | |
| Over | Total points | 49 | 3.45 | 3 | +0.3% | PITvATL |
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.