Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

13 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 340 of 507 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
CARRico DowdleRushing yardsO 124.521.00Sportsbet5/3415%+35.4%PITvATL
CARRico DowdleRushing yardsO 109.516.00bet3656/3418%+33.6%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceptionsU 1.52.30Unibet25/3474%+30.8%PITvATL
CARRico DowdleRushing yardsO 99.512.00Ladbrokes7/3421%+24.2%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceiving yardsU 17.51.90bet36525/3474%+8.1%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceiving yardsU 18.51.88Sportsbet25/3474%+6.8%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceiving yardsU 19.51.88Ladbrokes25/3474%+6.8%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceiving yardsU 15.52.05TAB23/3468%+4.2%PITvATL
PHIJahan DotsonReceiving yardsU 20.51.80PointsBet25/3474%+2.4%PITvATL
PITDK MetcalfReceptionsO 2.51.32Unibet31/3491%+1.5%PITvATL
MIATua TagovailoaPassing touchdownsO 0.51.45Ladbrokes29/3485%+1.3%PITvATL
PITPat FreiermuthReceiving yardsO 9.51.25Ladbrokes32/3494%+1.1%PITvATL
MIATua TagovailoaPassing touchdownsO 1.53.50Ladbrokes15/3444%+1.1%PITvATL

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal points524.80Ladbrokes3+4.9%PITvATL
OverTotal points51.54.50Ladbrokes7+4.2%PITvATL
OverTotal points514.40Ladbrokes3+3.5%PITvATL
OverTotal points503.80Ladbrokes3+1.7%PITvATL
OverTotal points50.53.90Ladbrokes8+1.7%PITvATL
OverTotal points48.53.25Ladbrokes8+1.1%PITvATL
OverTotal points49.53.50Ladbrokes8+0.8%PITvATL
OverTotal points483.20Ladbrokes3+0.5%PITvATL
UnderTotal points52.51.28TAB6+0.5%PITvATL
OverTotal points493.45Ladbrokes3+0.3%PITvATL

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.