Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

45 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 330 of 527 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 79.516.00bet36512/3435%+243.8%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 69.510.50bet36516/3447%+230.2%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 59.58.75Ladbrokes18/3453%+221.4%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 6.536.00Sportsbet6/3418%+200.6%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 89.519.00Sportsbet9/3426%+177.4%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 99.531.00Sportsbet6/3418%+158.8%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 49.55.00Ladbrokes20/3459%+111.1%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 3.54.60Unibet20/3459%+94.2%MINvGB
PITJonnu SmithTouchdownsO 0.511.00Dabble10/3429%+85.2%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 69.514.00Ladbrokes8/3424%+74.1%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 39.53.05BetRight25/3474%+73.5%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 4.57.50Sportsbet12/3435%+61.2%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 39.53.54bet36521/3462%+59.4%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 34.52.80BetRight25/3474%+59.3%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 5.515.00Sportsbet7/3421%+55.2%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 29.52.45BetRight27/3479%+54.8%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 34.52.45BetRight26/3476%+47.0%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceiving yardsO 49.55.00bet36515/3444%+44.4%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 59.58.25bet36510/3429%+38.9%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 49.55.25bet36514/3441%+38.4%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 22.51.85Unibet30/3488%+35.6%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 79.516.00bet3656/3418%+33.6%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 25.52.00TAB28/3482%+33.0%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 23.51.90BetRight29/3485%+32.8%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 24.51.99BetRight28/3482%+32.3%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 2.52.45Unibet24/3471%+31.9%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 30.51.95TAB28/3482%+29.8%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 19.51.74PointsBet30/3488%+27.7%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 31.51.90bet36528/3482%+26.4%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 29.51.89BetRight28/3482%+25.9%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceiving yardsO 39.53.40Unibet18/3453%+24.9%MINvGB
GBChristian WatsonReceptionsU 4.51.64Ladbrokes30/3488%+20.4%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 19.51.48PointsBet32/3494%+19.8%MINvGB
ARIKyler MurrayRushing yardsO 29.52.80BetRight20/3459%+18.2%MINvGB
GBChristian WatsonReceptionsU 3.52.28Unibet23/3468%+15.9%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceiving yardsO 34.52.55BetRight21/3462%+14.9%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 14.51.49BetRight31/3491%+14.8%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceiving yardsO 59.57.75bet3659/3426%+13.2%MINvGB
MINAaron JonesRushing yardsO 24.51.58BetRight29/3485%+10.5%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceptionsO 1.51.48Unibet30/3488%+8.3%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceiving yardsO 25.51.85Unibet25/3474%+5.1%MINvGB
SFJauan JenningsReceiving yardsO 9.51.28Ladbrokes32/3494%+3.6%MINvGB
MINJosh OliverTouchdownsO 0.510.00Dabble7/3421%+3.5%MINvGB
MINT.J. HockensonReceptionsO 1.51.27PointsBet32/3494%+2.8%MINvGB
ARIKyler MurrayRushing yardsO 34.53.55BetRight15/3444%+2.5%MINvGB

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
UnderTotal points383.80Ladbrokes3+3.9%MINvGB
UnderTotal points374.40Ladbrokes3+3.8%MINvGB
UnderTotal points36.54.50Ladbrokes6+2.8%MINvGB
OverTotal points554.00Ladbrokes3+2.1%MINvGB
UnderTotal points393.50Ladbrokes3+1.9%MINvGB
UnderTotal points403.20Ladbrokes3+1.9%MINvGB
UnderTotal points38.53.60Ladbrokes8+1.4%MINvGB
UnderTotal points39.53.30Ladbrokes8+0.5%MINvGB
OverTotal points564.25Ladbrokes3+0.5%MINvGB
Green Bay PackersLine-12.05Ladbrokes3+0.0%MINvGB

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.