Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

21 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 302 of 509 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
CLEDavid NjokuReceptionsO 3.56.50TAB24/3471%+249.9%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 49.59.75bet36515/3444%+181.6%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 39.56.50bet36520/3459%+174.4%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 59.514.00bet36510/3429%+135.7%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 29.53.80bet36523/3468%+93.2%LACvARI
ARIMack WilsonReceptionsU 3.51.95TAB34/34100%+75.4%LACvARI
BALCharlie KolarReceptionsU 1.52.35bet36530/3488%+72.4%LACvARI
ARIMack WilsonReceiving yardsU 40.51.85TAB34/34100%+66.0%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 19.52.29bet36527/3479%+44.7%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceptionsO 1.51.74bet36530/3488%+27.7%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuTouchdownsO 0.55.30Sportsbet13/3438%+26.7%LACvARI
CLEDavid NjokuReceiving yardsO 15.51.90TAB28/3482%+26.4%LACvARI
SFKendrick BourneReceiving yardsO 29.53.40Sportsbet17/3450%+15.8%LACvARI
SFKendrick BourneReceiving yardsO 24.52.63Sportsbet20/3459%+11.0%LACvARI
BALCharlie KolarReceiving yardsU 17.51.90bet36525/3474%+8.1%LACvARI
ARIMarvin Harrison Jr.TouchdownsO 0.54.75bet36511/2938%+7.8%LACvARI
SFKendrick BourneReceiving yardsO 16.51.88Sportsbet25/3474%+6.8%LACvARI
LACTre HarrisReceiving yardsU 30.51.80TAB14/1782%+6.1%LACvARI
LACJustin HerbertPassing touchdownsU 2.51.43Unibet30/3488%+5.3%LACvARI
SFKendrick BourneReceiving yardsO 15.51.83PointsBet25/3474%+4.3%LACvARI
LACTre HarrisReceiving yardsU 28.51.90bet36513/1776%+0.2%LACvARI

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
OverTotal points45.51.90Dabble8+5.4%LACvARI
OverTotal points50.52.55Dabble8+3.1%LACvARI
OverTotal points46.51.95Dabble8+3.0%LACvARI
OverTotal points47.52.10Dabble9+2.9%LACvARI
OverTotal points51.52.80Dabble8+2.5%LACvARI
OverTotal points49.52.35Dabble8+1.9%LACvARI
OverTotal points44.51.75Dabble8+1.3%LACvARI
OverTotal points43.51.64Dabble8+1.3%LACvARI
OverTotal points53.53.20Dabble8+1.0%LACvARI
OverTotal points55.53.85Dabble7+0.9%LACvARI
OverTotal points48.52.20Dabble8+0.6%LACvARI
Los Angeles ChargersLine-1.51.22Ladbrokes5+0.5%LACvARI
OverTotal points54.53.50Dabble8+0.4%LACvARI

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.