Value
Player props
22 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 284 of 438 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 34 | Rate | Edge | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 29.5 | 6.50 | 12/34 | 35% | +39.7% | INDvBAL | |
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 49.5 | 13.00 | 7/34 | 21% | +34.5% | INDvBAL | |
| INDJonathan Taylor | Rushing yards | O 149.5 | 16.00 | 6/34 | 18% | +33.6% | INDvBAL | |
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 19.5 | 3.10 | 20/34 | 59% | +30.9% | INDvBAL | |
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 24.5 | 4.50 | 15/34 | 44% | +30.0% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 109.5 | 4.50 | 15/34 | 44% | +30.0% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 119.5 | 4.75 | 14/34 | 41% | +25.2% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 129.5 | 6.50 | 11/34 | 32% | +24.4% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 139.5 | 8.25 | 9/34 | 26% | +20.5% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 124.5 | 5.00 | 13/34 | 38% | +19.5% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 99.5 | 3.25 | 18/34 | 53% | +19.4% | INDvBAL | |
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 39.5 | 9.00 | 8/34 | 24% | +11.9% | INDvBAL | |
| INDJonathan Taylor | Touchdowns | O 2.5 | 13.00 | 6/34 | 18% | +8.5% | INDvBAL | |
| INDDaniel Jones | Rushing yards | O 14.5 | 2.25 | 22/34 | 65% | +7.8% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 89.5 | 2.55 | 20/34 | 59% | +7.7% | INDvBAL | |
| BALDerrick Henry | Rushing yards | O 149.5 | 10.00 | 7/34 | 21% | +3.5% | INDvBAL | |
| BALJustice Hill | Rushing yards | O 39.5 | 16.00 | 5/34 | 15% | +3.2% | INDvBAL | |
| BALRashod Bateman | Touchdowns | O 0.5 | 4.70 | 12/34 | 35% | +1.0% | INDvBAL | |
| BALJustice Hill | Rushing yards | O 29.5 | 9.75 | 7/34 | 21% | +0.9% | INDvBAL | |
| INDJonathan Taylor | Receiving yards | U 20.5 | 1.77 | 25/34 | 74% | +0.6% | INDvBAL | |
| INDJonathan Taylor | Receptions | U 2.5 | 2.23 | 21/34 | 62% | +0.4% | INDvBAL | |
| INDJonathan Taylor | Rushing yards | O 99.5 | 3.80 | 14/34 | 41% | +0.2% | INDvBAL |
Team markets
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.