Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

19 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 374 of 550 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
CINAndrei IosivasReceiving yardsO 19.53.20bet36522/3465%+53.3%CINvTB
CINAndrei IosivasReceiving yardsO 29.55.25bet36515/3444%+51.6%CINvTB
CINAndrei IosivasReceiving yardsO 39.58.25bet36510/3429%+38.9%CINvTB
CINAndrei IosivasReceptionsO 3.511.00TAB8/3424%+36.8%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceptionsO 6.511.00Sportsbet8/3424%+36.8%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceptionsO 7.521.00Sportsbet5/3415%+35.4%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceiving yardsO 79.515.00Sportsbet6/3418%+25.2%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceiving yardsO 69.510.00Sportsbet8/3424%+24.4%CINvTB
CINMike GesickiReceptionsO 3.56.50TAB11/3432%+24.4%CINvTB
CINAndrei IosivasReceiving yardsO 7.51.90bet36527/3479%+20.1%CINvTB
CINMike GesickiReceiving yardsO 59.514.00bet3656/3418%+16.9%CINvTB
CINErick AllReceptionsO 1.52.20TAB7/888%+16.4%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceiving yardsO 59.56.75bet36510/3429%+13.6%CINvTB
CINSamaje PerineRushing yardsU 15.52.10TAB23/3468%+6.8%CINvTB
CINErick AllReceiving yardsO 19.53.35bet3655/863%+2.4%CINvTB
TBCade OttonReceptionsO 5.57.00TAB9/3426%+2.2%CINvTB
CINSamaje PerineRushing yardsU 20.51.88Ladbrokes24/3471%+1.1%CINvTB
CINMike GesickiReceiving yardsO 49.59.75bet3657/3421%+0.9%CINvTB
CINErick AllReceiving yardsO 8.51.90bet3657/888%+0.6%CINvTB

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
Tampa Bay BuccaneersLine-1.53.00Betr7+5.5%CINvTB
OverTotal points604.20Ladbrokes3+3.8%CINvTB
Cincinnati BengalsLine-1.51.60Dabble7+3.7%CINvTB
OverTotal points593.90Ladbrokes3+2.7%CINvTB
OverTotal points42.51.36Betr8+0.0%CINvTB

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.