Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

2 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 275 of 458 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
DETIsaac TeSlaaTouchdownsO 0.54.90Sportsbet6/1443%+4.8%DETvNO
NODevaughn VeleReceiving yardsU 40.51.87PointsBet17/2374%+0.1%DETvNO

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
New Orleans SaintsLine-1.54.15Sportsbet6+8.7%DETvNO
OverTotal points604.60Ladbrokes3+6.5%DETvNO
OverTotal points594.20Ladbrokes3+4.8%DETvNO
OverTotal points59.54.25Ladbrokes6+3.3%DETvNO
OverTotal points583.70Ladbrokes3+0.8%DETvNO
UnderTotal points404.60Ladbrokes3+0.5%DETvNO
OverTotal points57.53.45Ladbrokes8+0.4%DETvNO
Detroit LionsLine-1.51.36Betr7+0.3%DETvNO
OverTotal points56.53.15Ladbrokes8+0.3%DETvNO
OverTotal points573.35Ladbrokes3+0.3%DETvNO

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.