Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

17 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 208 of 393 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
ATLKirk CousinsPassing yardsO 349.523.00Sportsbet5/3415%+48.3%LVvMIA
ATLKirk CousinsPassing yardsO 324.514.00bet3657/3421%+44.9%LVvMIA
DALJalen TolbertTouchdownsO 0.59.50bet3659/3426%+38.7%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 170.51.95TAB17/1989%+33.9%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 181.51.91BetRight17/1989%+31.0%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 174.51.90bet36517/1989%+30.4%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 176.51.88Unibet17/1989%+28.8%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 179.51.88Ladbrokes17/1989%+28.8%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 184.51.88Sportsbet17/1989%+28.8%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 180.51.87Betr17/1989%+28.3%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing yardsU 185.51.87PointsBet17/1989%+28.3%LVvMIA
ATLKirk CousinsPassing yardsO 299.510.00TAB8/3424%+24.4%LVvMIA
GBMalik WillisPassing touchdownsU 0.52.65PointsBet13/1968%+21.9%LVvMIA
LVTre TuckerReceiving yardsU 41.51.90bet36524/3471%+2.3%LVvMIA
MIAMalik WashingtonReceiving yardsU 25.51.90PointsBet22/3171%+1.5%LVvMIA
MIAMalik WashingtonReceiving yardsU 26.51.90bet36522/3171%+1.5%LVvMIA
MIAMalik WashingtonReceiving yardsU 27.51.88Ladbrokes22/3171%+0.3%LVvMIA

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
UnderTotal points50.51.29TAB7+1.0%LVvMIA
UnderTotal points47.51.40Betr8+0.6%LVvMIA
UnderTotal points48.51.36Betr8+0.3%LVvMIA

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.