Value
Player props
17 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 208 of 393 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.
| Player | Market | Bet | Best | Book | Last 34 | Rate | Edge | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLKirk Cousins | Passing yards | O 349.5 | 23.00 | 5/34 | 15% | +48.3% | LVvMIA | |
| ATLKirk Cousins | Passing yards | O 324.5 | 14.00 | 7/34 | 21% | +44.9% | LVvMIA | |
| DALJalen Tolbert | Touchdowns | O 0.5 | 9.50 | 9/34 | 26% | +38.7% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 170.5 | 1.95 | 17/19 | 89% | +33.9% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 181.5 | 1.91 | 17/19 | 89% | +31.0% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 174.5 | 1.90 | 17/19 | 89% | +30.4% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 176.5 | 1.88 | 17/19 | 89% | +28.8% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 179.5 | 1.88 | 17/19 | 89% | +28.8% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 184.5 | 1.88 | 17/19 | 89% | +28.8% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 180.5 | 1.87 | 17/19 | 89% | +28.3% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing yards | U 185.5 | 1.87 | 17/19 | 89% | +28.3% | LVvMIA | |
| ATLKirk Cousins | Passing yards | O 299.5 | 10.00 | 8/34 | 24% | +24.4% | LVvMIA | |
| GBMalik Willis | Passing touchdowns | U 0.5 | 2.65 | 13/19 | 68% | +21.9% | LVvMIA | |
| LVTre Tucker | Receiving yards | U 41.5 | 1.90 | 24/34 | 71% | +2.3% | LVvMIA | |
| MIAMalik Washington | Receiving yards | U 25.5 | 1.90 | 22/31 | 71% | +1.5% | LVvMIA | |
| MIAMalik Washington | Receiving yards | U 26.5 | 1.90 | 22/31 | 71% | +1.5% | LVvMIA | |
| MIAMalik Washington | Receiving yards | U 27.5 | 1.88 | 22/31 | 71% | +0.3% | LVvMIA |
Team markets
Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.
Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.
The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.