Nottingham ForestvNewcastle United

Half-time goals: Nottingham Forest 0.5, Newcastle United 0.5. The score at the break.

xG: Nottingham Forest 1.46, Newcastle United 1.13. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.

Non-penalty xG: Nottingham Forest 1.20, Newcastle United 1.13. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.

Shots: Nottingham Forest 12, Newcastle United 10.7. Attempts at goal, on target or not.

On target: Nottingham Forest 2.3, Newcastle United 2.7. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.

Big chances: Nottingham Forest 0.7, Newcastle United 1.3. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.

Corners: Nottingham Forest 4, Newcastle United 4.5. Corners won.

Shots from corners: Nottingham Forest 2, Newcastle United 1.3. How many of those corners actually produced a shot.

From free kicks: Nottingham Forest 0.3, Newcastle United 0.7. Shots struck directly from a free kick.

Headed shots: Nottingham Forest 2.3, Newcastle United 1. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.

Penalties: Nottingham Forest 0.3, Newcastle United 0. Penalties awarded and taken.

Passes in their third: Nottingham Forest 169.3, Newcastle United 217.7. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.

Deep completions: Nottingham Forest 6, Newcastle United 6.3. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.

Fouls: Nottingham Forest 12.5, Newcastle United 12.5. Fouls conceded.

Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 2.3, Newcastle United 3.3. Summed from the players.

PPDA: Nottingham Forest 12.6, Newcastle United 11.6. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.

Expected points: Nottingham Forest 1.60, Newcastle United 0.79. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.