Aston Villa2–0Nottingham Forest

xG: Aston Villa 1.43, Nottingham Forest 0.23. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.

Non-penalty xG: Aston Villa 1.43, Nottingham Forest 0.23. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.

Shots: Aston Villa 8, Nottingham Forest 6. Attempts at goal, on target or not.

On target: Aston Villa 3, Nottingham Forest 2. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.

Big chances: Aston Villa 2, Nottingham Forest 0. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.

Corners: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 8. Corners won.

Headed shots: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 1. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.

Passes in their third: Aston Villa 285, Nottingham Forest 115. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.

Deep completions: Aston Villa 8, Nottingham Forest 1. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.

Fouls: Aston Villa 7, Nottingham Forest 17. Fouls conceded.

Yellow cards: Aston Villa 3, Nottingham Forest 4. Summed from the players.

PPDA: Aston Villa 6.1, Nottingham Forest 12.4. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.

Expected points: Aston Villa 2.43, Nottingham Forest 0.35. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.