Nottingham Forest2–2Luton Town

xG: Nottingham Forest 3.28, Luton Town 1.50. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.

Non-penalty xG: Nottingham Forest 3.28, Luton Town 1.50. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.

Shots: Nottingham Forest 19, Luton Town 13. Attempts at goal, on target or not.

On target: Nottingham Forest 8, Luton Town 4. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.

Big chances: Nottingham Forest 3, Luton Town 2. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.

Corners: Nottingham Forest 4, Luton Town 2. Corners won.

Shots from corners: Nottingham Forest 5, Luton Town 1. How many of those corners actually produced a shot.

Headed shots: Nottingham Forest 8, Luton Town 2. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.

Passes in their third: Nottingham Forest 292, Luton Town 160. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.

Deep completions: Nottingham Forest 4, Luton Town 6. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.

Fouls: Nottingham Forest 12, Luton Town 11. Fouls conceded.

Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 3, Luton Town 0. Summed from the players.

PPDA: Nottingham Forest 8.9, Luton Town 16.2. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.

Expected points: Nottingham Forest 2.48, Luton Town 0.39. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.