Aston Villa4–2Nottingham Forest

Half-time goals: Aston Villa 3, Nottingham Forest 1. The score at the break.

xG: Aston Villa 3.49, Nottingham Forest 2.26. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.

Non-penalty xG: Aston Villa 3.49, Nottingham Forest 2.26. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.

Shots: Aston Villa 16, Nottingham Forest 10. Attempts at goal, on target or not.

On target: Aston Villa 6, Nottingham Forest 3. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.

Big chances: Aston Villa 5, Nottingham Forest 3. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.

Corners: Aston Villa 7, Nottingham Forest 2. Corners won.

Shots from corners: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 1. How many of those corners actually produced a shot.

From free kicks: Aston Villa 2, Nottingham Forest 0. Shots struck directly from a free kick.

Headed shots: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 0. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.

Passes in their third: Aston Villa 328, Nottingham Forest 229. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.

Deep completions: Aston Villa 16, Nottingham Forest 7. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.

Fouls: Aston Villa 7, Nottingham Forest 16. Fouls conceded.

Yellow cards: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 2. Summed from the players.

PPDA: Aston Villa 15.3, Nottingham Forest 13.1. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.

Expected points: Aston Villa 2.19, Nottingham Forest 0.62. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.