Nottingham Forest2–1Aston Villa

xG: Nottingham Forest 2.29, Aston Villa 0.39. Chances created, each weighted by how often a shot like it is scored.

Non-penalty xG: Nottingham Forest 2.29, Aston Villa 0.39. The same with penalties taken out — open-play threat only.

Shots: Nottingham Forest 17, Aston Villa 8. Attempts at goal, on target or not.

On target: Nottingham Forest 6, Aston Villa 2. Goals plus saved shots. A shot against the post is not on target.

Big chances: Nottingham Forest 3, Aston Villa 0. Shots worth 0.3 expected goals or more — the ones that should be scored.

Corners: Nottingham Forest 4, Aston Villa 3. Corners won.

Shots from corners: Nottingham Forest 4, Aston Villa 2. How many of those corners actually produced a shot.

Headed shots: Nottingham Forest 6, Aston Villa 3. Attempts with the head, a proxy for how much arrives from crosses.

Passes in their third: Nottingham Forest 237, Aston Villa 277. Passes completed in the opposition’s defensive third. NOT total passes — no source here publishes those.

Deep completions: Nottingham Forest 5, Aston Villa 7. Passes completed within 20 yards of goal.

Fouls: Nottingham Forest 12, Aston Villa 6. Fouls conceded.

Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 0, Aston Villa 1. Summed from the players.

PPDA: Nottingham Forest 17.3, Aston Villa 16.9. Passes the opposition completes per defensive action. A LOW number means pressing high and often; a high one means sitting off.

Expected points: Nottingham Forest 2.69, Aston Villa 0.20. Points these chances were worth on average — 3 for a win, 1 for a draw — whatever the scoreline actually said.