Sportsball Stats

Value

Player props

22 bets beat the player's own record. Measured on 337 of 521 priced: a bet needs 5 hits from at least 5 appearances, at 10% or better.

SortEdgePriceHit rateKick-off

PlayerMarketBetBestBookLast 34RateEdgeMatch
BUFKhalil ShakirReceptionsO 5.54.90Unibet19/3456%+93.3%HOUvBUF
BUFJosh AllenTouchdownsO 1.510.50bet36510/3429%+76.8%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceptionsO 4.52.88Unibet22/3465%+38.0%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceiving yardsO 59.54.75bet36515/3444%+37.2%HOUvBUF
HOUBrevin JordanTouchdownsO 0.514.00Ladbrokes6/3119%+28.6%HOUvBUF
BUFJames CookRushing yardsO 99.54.20bet36515/3444%+21.3%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceiving yardsO 49.53.25bet36518/3453%+19.4%HOUvBUF
DETDavid MontgomeryReceiving yardsO 9.52.20BetRight24/3471%+18.4%HOUvBUF
BUFKeon ColemanTouchdownsO 0.57.00PointsBet9/3030%+16.7%HOUvBUF
BUFJosh AllenPassing touchdownsO 1.52.75PointsBet20/3459%+16.1%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceiving yardsO 44.52.45BetRight21/3462%+10.3%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceptionsO 3.51.83Unibet26/3476%+9.6%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceiving yardsO 39.52.25bet36522/3465%+7.8%HOUvBUF
BUFJames CookTouchdownsO 1.57.25bet3659/3426%+5.9%HOUvBUF
BUFJosh AllenPassing yardsO 249.53.10bet36517/3450%+5.6%HOUvBUF
BUFKhalil ShakirReceiving yardsO 29.51.66bet36527/3479%+5.1%HOUvBUF
HOUDalton SchultzReceiving yardsO 19.51.42PointsBet30/3488%+4.2%HOUvBUF
DETDavid MontgomeryReceiving yardsO 14.52.80BetRight18/3453%+2.9%HOUvBUF
DETDavid MontgomeryReceiving yardsO 4.51.71BetRight26/3476%+2.6%HOUvBUF
BUFJames CookRushing yardsO 79.52.40bet36520/3459%+1.3%HOUvBUF
DETDavid MontgomeryReceiving yardsO 7.51.88Ladbrokes24/3471%+1.1%HOUvBUF
DETDavid MontgomeryReceiving yardsO 8.51.88Sportsbet24/3471%+1.1%HOUvBUF

Team markets

SelectionMarketLineBestBookBooksMarketEVMatch
Buffalo BillsLine-11.96bet3654+0.9%HOUvBUF
OverTotal points533.90Ladbrokes3+0.3%HOUvBUF

Prices are the last we hold, not the price at kick-off. A settled round is scored against what the players actually did, but the odds beside it were collected before the whistle and may have moved after. One round is a scoreboard, not a record.

Nothing here knows whether he is starting. Line-ups are published shortly before kick-off, and a player who does not start has his bet voided rather than lost — which is how a settled round is scored here.

The rate is what happened over a player's last 34 appearances; the edge is measured against the cautious end of it, because two goals in sixty games is not a 3% chance, it is an unknown chance that happened twice. An Under is measured from the other end of the same interval, never as the leftovers of an Over. MarketEV compares a team price to the devigged median of at least 3 books, which is a different yardstick from a player's own record and is why the two are different tables.